Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance indicates a slight edge for Casper Ruud, as he has won 46.47% of points, compared to Carlos Alcaraz's 45.37%.
• When it comes to returning the opponent's second serve, Casper Ruud again outperforms Carlos Alcaraz with 46.57% compared to Alcaraz's 42.05%.
• How do they fare on returning the first serve? Alcaraz has a small advantage, winning 25.62% of points, just ahead of Ruud's 24.34%.
• Looking at their ability to handle pressure, Alcaraz has saved 53.44% of breakpoints, slightly better than Ruud's 52.23%.
• Overall, Alcaraz has dominated in matches played over the past year, with an 87.21% win rate, while Ruud holds a 65.45% win rate.
• Carlos Alcaraz excels on Grass, with a 90% win rate, whereas Casper Ruud is strongest on Clay, boasting a 70% win percentage.
• Both players have frequently competed at the Masters series level. Alcaraz claims 86.21% victories at this level, surpassing Ruud's 63.64% success rate.
• What does their direct head-to-head record reveal? Alcaraz leads with a 4-1 record over Ruud, winning 9 out of 12 sets played.
• Casper Ruud's last win against Carlos Alcaraz occurred at the Nitto ATP Finals in 2024.
• On average, matches between these two are tightly contested, lasting around 1:56:22.
• Considering opponent quality over the past year, Alcaraz has faced tougher competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 52.19, compared to Ruud's 65.69.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Alcaraz's record is stronger, with a 79% win rate in such scenarios versus Ruud's 56%.

Editorial Prediction (September 28, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the upcoming clash between Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud, the performance patterns suggest Alcaraz holds a slight edge in key areas.

Despite Ruud's commendable second serve and second serve return stats, Alcaraz compensates with superior first serve returns and breakpoint saving ability. Furthermore, Alcaraz’s impressive win record over the past year at higher event levels showcases his elite level of play.

The head-to-head history between these two paints a clear picture: Alcaraz has consistently bested Ruud in their encounters, winning the majority of their sets.

Given these factors, Carlos Alcaraz is favored to win this upcoming match, with his all-around game likely to overpower Ruud.